The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Australia

AUSTRALIA, NORTH EAST ASIA AND CHINA: OPPORTUNITIES IN A CHANGING WORLD

Address by the Hon Alexander Downer, MP, Minister for Foreign Affairs of Australia, at a joint Asia House/Austcham luncheon, Hong Kong, 4 July 1996


Introduction

I am delighted to address you today at this function jointly hosted by Austcham and Asia House.
Both organisations exemplify some of the profound changes occurring in Asia.

Austcham with more than 1000 members and as the second-largest foreign chamber in Hong Kong is evidence of the extent of Australia's economic engagement with Asia.

Asia House reflects the trend toward greater co-operation between two of the world's major regions, namely Asia and Europe.

For Australia, the importance of this process of engagement with this region cannot be overstated as our highest foreign policy priority.

Within this overall commitment to the region, Australia has quite distinctive interests in North East Asia. Naturally, many of those interests are important here in Hong Kong and I will address them today, underlining in particular, their importance to us over the long term, well beyond the historic transition next year.

But, clearly, any discussion of Australian interests in Hong Kong and the North East Asia region as a whole would be artificial if it were not also to include discussion of the much broader subject of our interests in China, the fundamental nature of its linkages with Hong Kong and an outline of Australia's relationship with China.

Strategically, China, and our long-term relationship with it, is of vital importance in Australia's foreign policy.

Over ten years ago, when I worked for then Australian Prime Minister, Malcolm Fraser, his 1982 visit to China was marked by the overwhelming message that Australia's relationship with China was one of engagement and partnership.
Now, in the midst of the vast changes occurring in North East Asia and here in Hong Kong which has an integral role in these changes, I wish to reiterate that message.

There is no question that the transformation occurring here provides opportunities for Australia to develop an even more substantial and closer relationship with China to the mutual benefit of both countries.


PART ONE: NORTH EAST ASIA
The first and most important feature of North East Asia is its economic dynamism.
Indeed the expected continuation of economic growth in this part of Asia will ensure that it remains the world's fastest growing region well into the next century.

In 1994, the combined Gross Domestic Products of Japan, mainland China, South Korea, Hong Kong and Taiwan accounted for a quarter of world GDP and a fifth of world trade. A third of their trade is with each other.

Projections suggest that over the next four years the GDP growth rate in those economies combined will be twice that of the average growth rate of the world as a whole.

The second important feature of North East Asia is the fact that it is one of the regions of the world where the interests of a number of major powers intersect. These complex interrelationships between the major powers - the United States, China, Japan, and Russia - give them a special capacity for influence but which also imposes a particular responsibility on them.

Security in North East Asia is underpinned by stable, productive and mutually beneficial relationships between the United States and Japan, between the United States and China, as well as the relationship between China and Japan themselves and those which Russia has with each of the others.

In other words, the commitment which the major powers make to strengthening their bilateral relationships will be a key to North East Asian security.

A third feature of growing importance to the region is the trend to greater cooperation embodied in regional structures and dialogue such as APEC and the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF).
Such cooperative regional arrangements are in large part the natural corollary of the region's economic growth and the intersection of the security interests of major powers. These mechanisms enable us to focus on and define our common interests and to add to the web of linkages provided by strong and confident bilateral relationships.

APEC offers a unique way of sustaining regional growth through commitments to greater trade liberalisation, but at the same time it also contributes to the region's stability by providing the venue for informal personal dialogue amongst the leaders of the principal economies of the Asia-Pacific region.

ARF for its part is helping to develop a sense of trust and shared responsibility amongst the countries of the broader region, essential to shaping its long-term security and prosperity.

Against the background of what may be described as these defining features of the North East Asia region today, the new Australian Government is convinced that more can and should be done to promote the spirit of cooperation abroad and to make the most of the opportunities presented by the extraordinary economic growth and changes taking place in the region.

To this end, the Australian Government is committed to what I like to characterise as "practical bilateralism".

It is why the new Australian Government believes that foreign policy must be based on identifying common interests and building on them fundamentally at the bilateral level
Strong, confident bilateral relationships - and the shared understanding that grows with them - in themselves, form a web of linkages that provides the underpinning for regional cooperation and stability and effective multilateral activity.

Australians are already actively involved in this way in North East Asia.
This is manifest in the fact that five of Australia's top ten trading partners are in North East Asia.
And in 1995, close to half of Australia's total exports went to mainland China, Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan.

That is the spirit of the Australian Government's dialogue with all our partners in the region - not least with China and Hong Kong, with which our respective relationships have now expanded to include almost all possible fields of human endeavour, well beyond the ambit of Governments.

PART TWO: AUSTRALIA, CHINA AND NORTH EAST ASIA
Seen in the context of these recent trends in North East Asia, China is already of utmost importance for Australia as a key player in the security and prosperity of our common region and as a significant and rapidly growing economic partner.

This importance for our interests will increasingly grow and deepen, not only in a bilateral sense, but by extension, regionally and multilaterally, as China becomes even more engaged in the affairs of our region and in international organisations.

Last month, when I met Henry Kissinger in New York, he reminded me of his earlier observation that whenever a country of China's potential emerges into great power status, a period of adjustment follows - both on China's part and on that of other countries, particularly those in the same region.
China already has a leading role to play in contributing to international peace and security as a permanent member of the UN Security Council.

But in addition to this formal manifestation of its importance to regional and global affairs, as China's economy modernises and expands to be one of the world's three biggest economies early next century, its regional and global influence will become even more apparent. Moreover, in this situation it is natural that China will continue to be active in pursuing its own national interests.

For example, the way China approaches its reunification goals over the coming years will be important to all regional countries, since it makes a significant impact on major strategic relationships.
Australia's one-China policy is quite clear and the Australian Government strongly supports both sides of the Taiwan Straits talking together and resolving their difficulties peacefully. We look forward to an early resumption of that dialogue.

Australia also welcomes China's announcement of a moratorium on nuclear testing, so that it will be in a position to sign a Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty by September 1996. That said, we are firmly opposed to any proposals for further nuclear testing before then.

These points notwithstanding, I have no intention of engaging in megaphone diplomacy either today or generally and certainly not before I have visited China as Foreign Minister. Such differences that come up from time to time in our relationship are most appropriately handled between us in the course of our regular dialogue at all levels.

It is, of course, not surprising that such matters do exist as a reflection of the fact that two countries such as Australia and China have different backgrounds, political systems and priorities. Moreover, they may also derive from the sorts of adjustments which Henry Kissinger referred to when speaking of China's emergence as a major world power.

Of course, we do not and will not shirk from raising with China our concerns on human rights and other issues at the appropriate time, but when we do so it is always in the context of well-established global principles and the enduring interests which we have identified in the relationship.

PART THREE: THE AUSTRALIA - CHINA RELATIONSHIP
Today, therefore I will focus my comments on how it is in both Australia's and China's long-term interests that we expand the scope and our levels of cooperation and joint endeavour and how Australia's enduring interests in Hong Kong are an integral part of that enterprise.

Let me first touch on the international and regional dimensions and thereafter speak in more detail about the Australia/China bilateral relationship and then the Australia/Hong Kong relationship. Both these are relationships which in their own way have been characterised by marked growth and expansion over the past fifteen years - and have nourished each other.

As a large fast-growing economy, China is dependent on and will continue to generate huge and increasing needs for resources, capital and technology. Those needs can only be satisfied by a world trading system operating in a liberal, rules-based environment.

I know this is of importance to you here in Hong Kong, as the main entrepot for trade and investment with China. It is also why Australia strongly supports China's early accession to, and full participation in, the World Trade Organisation (WTO), in accordance with the rules-based system which serves all trading nations so well.

Consistent with this, the Australian Government also supports efforts broadly, including in China, to improve protection of intellectual property.

Australia welcomes the steps China is taking to reform its trade regime to satisfy the requirements for WTO accession. We also welcome the recent assurances it has provided to implement stricter protection of intellectual property rights.

Australia and all other countries of the region share an interest in China's active participation in and strong contribution to the region's emerging consultative frameworks.

We welcome China's commitment to participate actively in these regional bodies, in particular strengthening its cooperation with its regional neighbours through APEC and through its involvement in the ASEAN Regional Forum and other regional security processes.
Let me now turn to Australia's economic relations with China.

China is now Australia's sixth largest trading partner and two-way trade is likely to approach A$8 billion this year.

After July 1997, the combined markets of Hong Kong and China will constitute Australia's second-largest trading partner, although of course Hong Kong will maintain its economic autonomy.
The growth figures continue to be very strong. Trade with China has more than doubled over the last five years. But in just three years, contracted Australian investment in China has expanded almost sixfold, from A$800 million to over A$4.5 billion. Just as significant, Australia is second only to Hong Kong as China's preferred investment destination.

That trade and investment record has been driven by natural complementarities. China needs Australian raw materials for its industrial and infrastructure expansion. So three-quarters of Australia's exports are commodities like iron ore, alumina, wool, wheat and sugar.

But that picture is changing rapidly. Australian exporters are creating new, high-technology complementarities in services, telecommunications and transport equipment. For example, many of you have probably seen one of the many Australian-built high-speed ferries that are now operating in China - on the Pearl River, between Hong Kong and neighbouring centres, and around Shanghai and Dalian.

The services sector is growing steadily as the Chinese economy becomes more complex and Australians are moving to meet new demands. Many of you have been doing that here in Hong Kong.

Financial institutions like the ANZ and Commonwealth Banks, and insurance companies like National Mutual and Colonial Mutual, already highly successful in the Hong Kong market, are building on that strong foundation of experience and establishing themselves in China to tap the growing potential in the services sector.

In fact, if you choose almost any commercial activity known in Australia, you'll find an Australian pursuing it in China. Lawyers, architects, accountants, education consultants and teachers are all active.

Australian firms, many of the companies represented in the audience here today, both large and small, are establishing a solid presence on the ground. The bigger players are household names: AWA, BHP, Boral, CRA, CSR, Fosters, Pacific Dunlop, Pioneer and TNT. They cover the spectrum of Australian industry sectors, and many have offices in China's major cities.

On the proven principle that investment often breeds export success, the Australian Government will be encouraging joint ventures as a means of facilitating exports. It sees significant opportunities in food processing and raw materials processing.

The new Government intends to encourage training and educational links, especially in those areas connected with direct economic needs. Take for instance the example of the Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology's full time one year course on international trade and business in Wuhan in which 80 managers from China and Australia are studying together.

These are the sorts of creative projects that build the networks so important to long term business success and there are nearly 3,000 students from China taking full-time courses in Australia.
As with Austcham in Hong Kong, thriving Australian business chambers are now a feature of the business scene in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou.

I am struck by the way in which our relationship has changed from one that was largely between governments, to one where much of the dynamism comes from the private sector. Indeed there is probably no better example of the involvement of private business than Phillip Brass, the recently retired Managing Director of Pacific Dunlop, who is the current Chairman of the elite group of international business advisors to the Mayor of Shanghai.

The new Australian Government is fully committed to adding to our Ministerial contacts with China as an essential tool for negotiating mutually beneficial results in all areas of the relationship.

PART FOUR: HONG KONG AND CHINA: A SHARED FUTURE
Let me conclude by speaking of Hong Kong. Nowhere is the change that is occurring in the region, and the evolving role of China, more evident than in Hong Kong, marked most particularly by the fact that on 1 July 1997, China and Hong Kong will enter an even more directly-shared future.
When I visit China - which will be soon - I will be underlining Australia's substantial interests in Hong Kong and in the achievement of a successful transition in 1997.

My starting point will be that for Australia, Hong Kong is a major economic partner, and that we are committed to Hong Kong over the long haul.

It is our eighth largest export market, with two-way trade worth almost A$4 billion last year and growing fast. It is our fourth-largest source of, and sixth-largest destination for, foreign investment. Hong Kong, too, is a major base for Australians doing business in the wider China market. The more than 350 Australian companies with operations here are testament to that.

Thousands of Hong Kong people have chosen to make Australia their home, and over 30,000 Australians live and work here. A quarter of a million Australians now visit Hong Kong each year.
These flows of people are fundamental to the strength and vitality of the relationship and its value to each side and I have every reason to expect them to broaden and deepen.

Naturally then, the Australian Government is taking steps to clarify post-1997 issues of importance to Australians in Hong Kong, including specific issues such as nationality and right of abode questions.
At this point in the transition - with just 362 days to go -Britain and China deserve, in my view, considerable credit for what they have achieved.

What has been promised under the Joint Declaration and the Basic Law lays a solid foundation for a continuation of Hong Kong's prosperity and way of life.

China's commitment to the one country two systems formula for Hong Kong is an undertaking of great significance.

That formula, promising that Hong Kong's way of life shall remain unchanged for 50 years, allows Hong Kong and the international business community to plan for the future with confidence.
This is critical because it is Hong Kong's way of life that has formed the basis of its spectacular economic success. The Joint Declaration and the Basic Law unequivocally recognise that.
They offer a basis for confidence in Hong Kong's future stability and prosperity, built on the continuation of the key elements that made that success possible.

And fundamentally there are two commitments which have the greatest importance. First, there is the guarantee of a "high degree of autonomy". Second, the recognition that Hong Kong's free and open economic and social system should be preserved.

It is that system which has been central to Hong Kong creating the prosperity we see today and which will ensure its success into the future. It is that system which has made possible Hong Kong's enormous contribution to the economic progress of China as a whole and, indeed, the wider region.

Hong Kong's trademark entrepreneurial drive, its adaptability and its capacity to innovate in the business sector owe much to the free flow of information and ideas, secured by freedom of speech and the press. Business has flourished because of the level playing field underpinned by the rule of law and accountable government.

The Joint Declaration and the Basic Law both provide for the continuation of all the rights which Hong Kong people currently enjoy including democratic political institutions. For they are vital for the confidence of those members of the international community with an important stake in, and goodwill towards Hong Kong's future - the many thousands of companies which do business here, and the millions of people who make their living in, or in partnership with, Hong Kong.

Hong Kong is, and will remain, an important element of Australia's comprehensive engagement with North East Asia and I expect that this will even increase in importance in the coming years.
And, from my discussions over the past two days, I think there is reason for measured optimism about Hong Kong's future.

Certainly I now understand why people have often said to me that nobody ever got rich betting against Hong Kong!

So, while Governments must see the strategic directions for our key relationships it is really in the hands of our companies and our businesspeople to bring them to economic life.

In this regard, let me recognise here the drive and commitment of those Australian companies and the Hong Kong companies who are in economic partnership with us.

Governments can do a lot. But in the end they do not do the trading, make the investments and create the wealth on which we all depend to raise living standards and secure our future.

Let me conclude by wishing you well and assuring you that we will be working hard and with a clear sense of purpose to ensure that business can make the most of these great opportunities in this exciting part of the world.